Cold Chain Logistics Demand Forecasting for Fresh Agricultural Foods in Fujian Province, China

Abstract

China's current cold chain infrastructure for fresh agricultural products faces numerous challenges, particularly within the context of Fujian Province. The cold chain logistics sector in the region is characterized by limited development and requires immediate improvements in its foundational supporting infrastructure. The establishment of a comprehensive cold chain logistics system tailored for fresh agricultural goods remains incomplete, resulting in inefficiencies within the supply network. An in-depth examination of the necessity for refrigerated transportation networks for fresh agricultural products through scientific inquiry reveals the potential for strategic investments in the industry. To address this gap, a study employing the GM (1,1) model is conducted to forecast the future demand for cold chain logistics in fresh agricultural items specifically within Fujian Province, China, over the next five years. The findings of the study indicate that by 2027, the demand for cold chain logistics services for fresh produce in Fujian Province is projected to reach 4765.6 million tons. These insights furnish valuable information for optimizing investment planning in cold chain logistics infrastructure and formulating pertinent legislative measures to stimulate industry growth. In summary, the integration of these findings into the context of Fujian Province underscores the significance of enhancing cold chain logistics capabilities to address existing challenges and capitalize on future opportunities within the region's fresh agricultural sector.